Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000121 0.000133 0.000146 0.000161 0.000177 0.000195 0.000215
2025-12-07 0.000100 0.000118 0.000138 0.000164 0.000195 0.000232 0.000279
2025-12-14 0.000083 0.000104 0.000128 0.000161 0.000203 0.000256 0.000328
2025-12-21 0.000071 0.000092 0.000118 0.000155 0.000205 0.000271 0.000367
2025-12-28 0.000064 0.000086 0.000114 0.000156 0.000215 0.000296 0.000420
2026-01-04 0.000058 0.000081 0.000111 0.000157 0.000224 0.000322 0.000477
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000075 0.000106 0.000155 0.000229 0.000340 0.000524
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000072 0.000104 0.000155 0.000237 0.000364 0.000583
2026-01-25 0.000045 0.000067 0.000100 0.000153 0.000240 0.000380 0.000631
2026-02-01 0.000042 0.000064 0.000097 0.000153 0.000246 0.000401 0.000690
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000060 0.000093 0.000150 0.000248 0.000415 0.000737
2026-02-15 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000147 0.000248 0.000426 0.000778
2026-02-22 0.000034 0.000055 0.000089 0.000149 0.000258 0.000458 0.000866
2026-03-01 0.000033 0.000054 0.000088 0.000152 0.000271 0.000494 0.000971
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000051 0.000085 0.000149 0.000272 0.000510 0.001034
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000047 0.000080 0.000143 0.000268 0.000514 0.001073
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000079 0.000144 0.000275 0.000543 0.001172
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000044 0.000078 0.000145 0.000284 0.000575 0.001282
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000042 0.000075 0.000143 0.000286 0.000593 0.001362
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000144 0.000294 0.000624 0.001479
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000039 0.000072 0.000142 0.000295 0.000641 0.001564
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000038 0.000071 0.000141 0.000300 0.000669 0.001680
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000036 0.000068 0.000139 0.000301 0.000683 0.001764